Agent Skills

polymarket-analyzer

Use this skill whenever the user wants to find trading opportunities, detect arbitrage, analyze a market, perform edge detection, find mispricing, do probability analysis, evaluate orderbook depth, find momentum signals, or assess Polymarket market quality. Triggers: "find opportunities", "detect arbitrage", "analyze market", "edge detection", "mispricing", "probability analysis", "orderbook analysis", "momentum scanner", "market inefficiency", "price gap", "volume surge", "trading edge", "marke

Install

npx skills add https://github.com/mjunaidca/polymarket-skills --skill polymarket-analyzer
SKILL.md

Polymarket Analyzer Skill

Detect trading edges and opportunities across Polymarket prediction markets using real-time data from the Gamma and CLOB APIs. Zero authentication required -- all analysis is read-only.

Available Scripts

1. Find Arbitrage Edges (scripts/find_edges.py)

Scans all active markets for pricing inefficiencies:

  • Underpriced: YES + NO < $1.00 (guaranteed profit if you buy both sides)
  • Overpriced: YES + NO > $1.02 (sell opportunity)
  • Calculates profit after fees for each opportunity
  • Outputs market name, prices, sum, potential profit, and fee impact
python scripts/find_edges.py
python scripts/find_edges.py --min-edge 0.02 --limit 500

2. Analyze Order Book (scripts/analyze_orderbook.py)

Deep analysis of a single market's order book:

  • Spread, mid-price, bid/ask depth (top N levels)
  • Bid-ask imbalance ratio (signals directional pressure)
  • Thin vs thick book classification
  • Liquidity concentration analysis
python scripts/analyze_orderbook.py --token-id <TOKEN_ID>
python scripts/analyze_orderbook.py --token-id <TOKEN_ID> --depth 10

3. Momentum Scanner (scripts/momentum_scanner.py)

Detect markets with unusual activity:

  • Volume surges: 24h volume significantly exceeds 7-day average
  • Price momentum: recent price moves in one direction
  • Liquidity changes: markets gaining or losing depth
  • Ranked output by signal strength
python scripts/momentum_scanner.py
python scripts/momentum_scanner.py --min-volume 10000 --limit 300

4. Correlation Tracker (scripts/correlation_tracker.py)

Detect hidden correlated exposure in your portfolio:

  • Groups positions by topic (crypto, politics, sports, geopolitics, etc.)
  • Detects shared qualifiers ("insider trading", "FIFA World Cup", etc.)
  • Warns when correlated clusters exceed concentration limits
  • Outputs diversification score (0-100)
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py --json
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py --threshold 0.10

Workflow

  1. Run find_edges.py to scan for arbitrage across all active markets
  2. For interesting markets, run analyze_orderbook.py to check if the edge is executable
  3. Run momentum_scanner.py to find markets with directional momentum
  4. Combine findings to identify the best opportunities

Fee Awareness

Most Polymarket markets are fee-free. Crypto 5-min/15-min markets have dynamic taker fees: fee = baseRate * min(price, 1 - price) * size. See references/fee-model.md for the full fee calculator and breakeven analysis.

Strategy Reference

See references/viable-strategies.md for the four strategies that still work in 2026 with win rates, expected returns, and risk profiles.

Important Disclaimers

  • This skill performs read-only analysis only -- no trades are executed
  • Past patterns do not guarantee future results
  • Always verify opportunities manually before trading
  • Not financial advice

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