Agent Skills

Weather Edge

Calibrated weather probability signals for Kalshi prediction markets. Dual-model: NWS forecast + GFS 31-member ensemble. Real-time METAR from settlement stations.

Install

Install and configure the MCP from https://github.com/RJW34/weather-edge-mcp now. Follow the repository's installation instructions, ask me for anything you can't complete yourself, and verify its tools load.
README

Weather Edge MCP Server

Weather Edge is an MCP server for calibrated Kalshi weather-market signals. It turns public forecast and market data into a compact tool surface for AI agents.

What it does

  • calibrates NWS daily high-temperature forecasts by city
  • reads current Kalshi weather market prices
  • estimates per-bucket probability, edge, and net expected value
  • exposes the results through MCP tools and an optional FastAPI surface

Install

pip install weather-edge-mcp

MCP usage

Claude Desktop

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "weather-edge": {
      "command": "python",
      "args": ["-m", "weather_edge_mcp"]
    }
  }
}

Other MCP clients

Use either of these commands:

weather-edge-mcp
python -m weather_edge_mcp

Transport options

weather-edge-mcp --transport stdio
weather-edge-mcp --transport sse --port 8050
weather-edge-mcp --transport streamable-http --port 8050

Tools

ToolDescription
get_weather_signals(city)Calibrated signals for one city's Kalshi weather markets
get_all_signals()Full scan across all supported cities
get_forecast(city)Bias-adjusted forecast context for one supported city
get_station_observation(city)Latest METAR observation from the settlement station
list_cities()Supported cities and calibration parameters

Supported cities: nyc, chicago, denver, miami, la

Optional web API

Weather Edge also ships an optional FastAPI app:

python -m uvicorn weather_edge_mcp.web_app:app --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8080

Routes:

  • /api/health
  • /api/signals?city=nyc
  • /api/all-signals
  • /dashboard
  • /subscribe

If the optional x402 stack is installed and configured, the paid routes can be gated there. MCP stdio mode stays clean and side-effect free.

Docker

The repo includes a Dockerfile for Glama/container builds.

docker build -t weather-edge-mcp .
docker run --rm weather-edge-mcp --help

Architecture

src/weather_edge_mcp/
  core.py        # forecasting, market fetches, calibration, formatting
  mcp_server.py  # MCP tools
  web_app.py     # optional FastAPI surface
  cli.py         # command-line entrypoint

Data sources

  • National Weather Service forecast API
  • Aviation Weather METAR API
  • Kalshi public market API

Development

python -m unittest discover -s tests -v
python -m build

License

MIT

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